摘要
应用数值预报产品并采用多种预报方案相结合,建立了台风路径的统计释用综合预报模式,从而提高了台风路径预报的技巧。经1994年台风季节业务试用,其预报性能比原有的统计预报模式有较大的提高,试验表明。
In this paper, a statistical interpretation compostteforecast model of typhoon track io set up by using numericalforecast products and several forecast schemes.Tested in 1994Typhoon season ,its forecast performance in much better thanthat of the previous statistical forecast model.The test shows that it in an effective method to sufficiently improve objective forecast oftyphoon track using the numerical forecast outputproducts obtained from forecasting and adopting several schemcsin composition.
出处
《热带气象学报》
CSCD
北大核心
1997年第2期125-130,共6页
Journal of Tropical Meteorology
基金
85-906项目
关键词
台风
路径
统计预报
台风预报
Typhoon track Statistical forecast Improvement