区域粮食生产中的农业生产资料灰色关联分析与预测

Grey Relevant Analysis and Prediction of Capital Goods in Grain Production at Regional Level

根据统计数据和经济区划结果,运用灰色理论量化东、中、西部地区粮食总产量与农业生产资料的灰色关联程度,并分析其动态变化情况和区域差异;应用灰色预测模型预测东、中、西部地区2010年和2020年各项农业生产资料数量,为今后农业生产资料合理利用提供参考。表2,参8。

Based on the statistics data and economic regionalization results, the paper calculated the grey relevancy between grain output and capital goods, and analyzed the dynamic changes and regional disparities. The capital goods quantity in 2010 and 2020 were forecasted by using of GM （1,1） model, and this provided the references for capital goods rational use.