工业化进程中的路径依赖及“闭锁”退出：广东省个案

Path-dependent and the Way out of Path-dependent in the Industrialization： Example from Guangdong

路径依赖意味着工业化可能进入良性循环的轨道并迅速优化．也可能顺着原来的错误路径下滑而进入“闭锁”状态；当工业化进入不良的路径依赖时，恰当的政策可以引导其转入良性的方向。广东东莞的例证表明，对外资经济和粗放型增长方式的路径依赖导致“产业空洞化”、环境污染加剧、人才缺失等危机：建立自由的市场机制，打造城市核心竞争力，加强区域合作，塑造文化形象，形成全面策动的人才机制，有利于东莞退出工业化的不良路径依赖。

Because of path-dependent, industrialization may run in a vicious circle way as it may run in a good one. When industrialization runs in a vicious way, proper policy can probably turn it into a good one. The study on industrialization of Dongguan shows that deeply depending on foreign capital and on extensive growth mode may probably lead to industry hollowing-out, more serious environmental pollution and short of talented people. To build a free market system and core competitiveness, make regularly regional cooperation with other cities and try to attract talented people in any probable ways would help Dongguan industrialization out of vicious Path-dependent.