2007年中国炼焦煤价格变化趋势

China’s coking coal price trend in 2007

认为在国内炼焦煤供需情况、国际炼焦煤和焦炭价格变化、国内钢材—焦炭—炼焦煤价格链和炼焦煤政策性成本上升4个因素的综合作用下,2007年国内炼焦煤价格将稳中有升,预计将比上年上升4%～8%,不会大起大落。分析认为,国内炼焦煤价格变化将对国际炼焦煤价格有所影响,影响的主要表现形式是现货价要高于合同价,这种影响在下半年可能较明显。

According to the Author, under the combination of 4 factors such as the domestic coking coal supply and demand relation, the changing coking coal and coke prices on the international market, domestic steel-coke-coking coal price chain and coking coal cost rise due to government policy adjustment, the price of coking coals on the domestic market will generally remain stable with moderate increase in 2007. The increase may be around 4% ~ 8% more than last year. There won’t be any major ups and downs in coking coal price this year. Based on the analysis made in this article, changes in coking coal prices on the domestic market may exert some influence on the international coking coals.