大中东形势进入动态相持阶段

Situation in Greater Middle East Enters into a Stage of Fluid Stalemate

美国在伊拉克、反恐等问题上面临的困境加剧，布什政府因伊朗核问题再次发动战争的可能性减小；伊朗以及中东地区极端势力的反美斗争将保持在一定的限度以内；美国内及大中东地区外部的促和力量在上升。大中东局势正在进入动态性的战略相持阶段，短期内发生新的战争的可能性基本排除。

As the U.S.difficulties it runs into in Iraq,anti-terrorist war and other issues are increasing,the possibilities of its waging another war on account of the Iranian nuclear issue have been reduced;Anti-American struggles waged by the Iranians and extreme elements in the Middle East will be confined to a certain limit;The forces in favor of peace and reconciliation gain ascendancy inside the U.S.and outside the Greater Middle East region.Situation in the region is now entering into a stage of fluid strategic stalemate,and the possibilities of breakout of a war within a short period of time can be ruled out in the main.