基于Bayes方法的服役结构时变可靠性分析

A summary of time-varying reliability analysis of existing structure based upon Bayes method

阐述了结构时不变可靠度的计算方法,在时不变可靠度分析方法的基础上,提出时变可靠度的分析方法,再引进Bayes方法对可靠度进行了分析,并对Bayes方法在结构可靠度分析中的应用进行了论述,从而使结构可靠度预测更符合实际。

The calculation method of time invariant reliability of structure is elaborated. Based upon analysis method of time invariant reliability of structure analysis method of time-varying reliability of structure is proposed. Bayes method is also introduced for reliability analysis. The application of Bayes method in reliability analysis is discussed in order to realize more credible reliability prediction.