论技术长波理论与文化产业成长周期

On Long Wave Theory and Periodicity of Cultural Industry

经济长波最先由康德拉季耶夫明确系统地提出,之后熊彼特提出了技术创新长波理论,冯.丹因在熊彼特技术创新长波论的基础上,提出了"创新生命周期"理论,并以此构建了自己的长波理论。通过回顾文化产业的产生与发展的历史脉络,可以看出文化产业也存在一定的长波周期。熊彼特等人的理论可以用来分析解释这一周期规律,文化产业发展的周期波动受经济长波的影响,本质上是由科技革命带来的一系列技术发明、创新推动形成的。

Long Wave Theory was firstly advanced by Nikolai D. Kondratiev systematically, and then Joseph A. Schumpeter put forward his Innovation Theory and Business-cycle Theory, which laid the basis for Innovation Periodicity Theory of Van Duijin. This article sorts out the development process of several kinds of cultural industries and assumes that there is periodicity in cultural industry. Theories by Schumpeter and Van Duijin were introduced to explain and analyze the periodicity, which was also shaped by innovations and inventions in technology revolutions.