舰船研制论证阶段的风险分析与评估

Analysis and evaluation of the risk in war ship demonstration

风险分析评估对舰船论证有非常重要的意义。介绍了目前舰船研制采用的风险分析评估方法,分析了其中的不足。针对舰船论证的特点,提出了舰船论证的风险分析评估方法,建立了相应的数学模型。

It is important to analyze and evaluates the risk for the war ship demonstration. This paper introduces the methods of analysis and evaluation at present, and points out the shortage in the methods. According to the characteristic of the warship demonstration, this paper puts forward a method of the evaluating risk in war ship demonstrating and math models are built up.