2007年我国进出口形势分析与预测

2007 Forecast and Analysis of China's Exports and Imports

本文根据截至2006年11月的海关统计数据,利用计量经济模型等方法对我国2007年进出口及中美、中欧之间的进出口和部分主要商品的进出口进行了测算。同时,指出了2007年我国对外贸易中需要关注的几个问题,提出了相应的政策建议。

In this study, we forecast China＇s exports and imports in 2007 including those between China and major trading partners and those of major trading commodities, by means of econometrics and some other new forecasting techniques. Some policy suggestions for the Chinese government are also provided.