安徽省居民消费、投资与经济增长关系的实证研究

A Positive Research on the Relation among National Resident Consumption Investment and GDP in Anhui Province

运用协整理论,从长期和短期两个角度对安徽省居民消费、固定资产投资与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证分析。结果表明:三者之间存在着长期稳定的关系,居民消费、固定资产投资对经济增长均具有促进作用。政府应努力调整投资与消费比例,逐步形成"消费主导型"的经济增长模式,提高经济增长的质量。

This paper has planned to utilize the theory of co-integration to analyze the long-term and short-term relation among national resident consumption, investment and Gross Domestic Product exists in Anhui Province. The analysis indicates that there exists a long-term stable relations among the three variables. Furthermore the national resident consumption and investment both promote the economic development. The government should try to proportion the investment to national resident consumption and form consumption leading way of the economic development gradually,so that we can improve the quanlity of economic development.