基于生态学的旅游预警指标体系研究

Study on pre-warning of tourism index system based on ecology

旅游预警指标体系是评价和判断旅游业各类经济活动可持续性的依据和标准,也是衡量旅游业可持续经营水平的重要标志。预警效果的好坏不仅依赖预测方法的优劣和警界限的准确与否,而且依赖于是否有一个合理的预警指标体系。本文在生态学的基础上,探讨了旅游预警指标体系的分类、选取原则、构建方法,构建了旅游预警的指标体系,对旅游区的发展管理提供可靠的信息保障。

The pre-warning of tourism index system is the standard of appraisal and judgment on sustainable economic activities basis for tourism, it is also the important symbol of sustainable management level. The pre- warning effect not just depends on the quality of forecast method and the warning limit, but relies on whether there is a reasonable pre - warning index system. Therefore, this article, based on ecology foundation, discussed the classification, the selection principle, the method of construction, and then constructed the pre- warning of tourism index system, which supplies reliable information to the management of tourist zone.