摘要
采用系统动力学模型对公路快速货运企业的经营活动进行模拟,提出适合企业经营层面的发展策略比选方法、实现公路快速货运企业发展定位的量化权衡。经过理论分析与实例运算,构建了具备一定通用性的企业SD模型,为企业经营层面的发展策略选择提供可行的方法指导;基于互谱分析技术,为企业层面的SD模型国民经济指标的选取提供合理可行的参考;消除相关统计数据序列较短对定量分析造成的障碍,可为成长中的公路快速货运企业的发展前景提供理论预期。
Adopting system dynamics（SD） model to simulate the activities of highway fast freight transportation enterprises, a method of selecting development tactics based on SD was put forward, which could also balance quantificationally different development directions. By theoretic analysis and demonstration, a universal SD model to aid enterprise selecting development tactics was designed. Using Cross Spectra Analysis, the SD model can support highway fast freight transportation enterprises to choose reasonable economic indexes, as well as eliminate obstacle caused by short statistical data sequence. Then, the SD model provided the foreground for the development of highway fast freight transportation enterprises.
出处
《系统工程》
CSCD
北大核心
2007年第4期30-36,共7页
Systems Engineering
关键词
公路快速货运企业
系统动力学
模拟
互谱分析
Highway Fast Freight Transportation Enterprise
System Dynamics
Simulate
Cross Spectra Analysis
