摘要
文章利用单位根检验、协整分析等现代计量经济学方法,基于1985—2004年的年度数据,对我国旅游业发展与经济增长之间的长期关系进行了协整分析。实证结果表明,我国旅游业发展与经济增长之间具有长期稳定的正向关系。
By means of unit root test and co - integration, this article analyzes the long - term relationship between China's tourism development and the economic growth with the annual economic data from 1985 to 2004. The empirical result shows that there is a stable positive equilibrium relationship between china' s tourism development and the economic growth in the long term.
关键词
旅游业发展
经济增长
单位根检验
协整
tourism development
economic growth
unit root test
co- integration.