中国加工贸易就业效应的实证分析

The Empirical Analysis on Employment Effect in Processing Trade

通过对1980-2005年我国加工贸易净出口值和非农产业就业人数之间关系的实证分析发现,它们两者之间呈现较强的正相关关系,而且Granger因果关系检验的结果表明,我国加工贸易净出口值变化是导致非农产业的就业人数变化的原因。因此,加工贸易的迅速发展对改善我国就业状况有积极作用。

This paper analyzes relationship between the net export of processing trade and the employment in nonagricultural industry in China. The findings show the signifcant positive relationship between the net export of processing trade and the employment. The Granger Cause also proves the importance of developing processing trade can improve the status of employment in China.