马尔可夫模型在分析高速公路交通分布不确定性中的应用

Application of Markovian Model in Analysis of Uncertainty of Freeway Traffic Distribution

讨论一系列入口匝道交通量是否能造成交通需求超过主干道的服务交通量。介绍了一个交通分布马尔可夫模型。

This paper considers in some details the problem of forcasting whether a given a set of freeway on ramp volumes are likely to cause overcapacity mainline demand. A simple markorian model for the distribution of freeway traffic is considered, which analyses the impact of uncertainty of traffic demand and the values of off ramp probability.