摘要
中东再次出现新的"石油繁荣",被称为"新石油时代"。中东油气业已形成较完整的产业链,改变了昔日单一出口原油的局面。20世纪70年代油价高涨是对在这之前国际石油垄断资本长期强加的超低油价的补偿,存在与外国资本之间的对抗;而这一次"新石油时代"则主要靠石油经济实力的支撑,随着经济的全球化,与外国资本之间的关系也已有所改变。评价高油价需扣除美元贬值的因素。20世纪"高油价—经济滞涨—石油供过于求—油价回跌"局面不会简单重复。政治仍然是影响中东油气业发展的重要因素。
The oil flourishing or a new oil age is coming in the Middle East. The oil industry chains have formed in the Middle East, which is changing the economic structure of sole oil export there. The rise of oil price in 1970s was a kind of compensation to the lower monopolist profits controlled by international capital before, and reflected the confrontation between the oil producers and the foreign capitals. Now the new rise of oil price is due to the strength of oil economic power, and the relation between the oil producers and foreign capital has changed because of the progress of economic globalization. It should be considered the factor of the devaluation of U.S. Dollar for the high price of oil. The situation of 'high oil price-economic depression-oil supply exceeds demand-oil price drop' may not appear simply in the future. The political factor is still an important reason to effect the development of oil and gas industry in the Middle East.
出处
《西亚非洲》
CSSCI
北大核心
2007年第10期10-17,共8页
West Asia and Africa
