Logistic自记忆模型在国民经济预测中的应用

Study on Forecasting National Economy by Logistic Self-memory Model

运用改进单纯型法、Logistic自记忆模型对国民经济进行预测,并与钟建生等的预测结果进行比较.结果表明:改进单纯型法优于线性变换法;Logistic自记忆模型优于Logistic模型.该研究为各行各业的预测提供了一种新的思路和方法.

Study on forecasting national economy by modified simplex method and Logistic self-memory model, then the result comparing with Zhong Jiansheng＇s prediction result. The results show： modified simplex method suprior to linearity transform model; Logistic self-memory model suprior to Logistic model. Providing a new way for forecasting conditions in every walk of life.