中国固体废弃物增长与经济增长的数量关系分析

Study On the Quantity Relations Between the Growth of Solid Waste and the Economy of China

文章选取1990-2004年中国固废总量同经济总量的时间序列,从固废增长同经济增长的相关关系出发,围绕着固废增长同经济增长的数量特征,通过相关系数分析、对数模型回归分析及其检验和因果关系阐述,研究经济增长与固废增长的演替轨迹,并建立经济增长与固废增长的计量模型。研究结果表明:在目前状况下,中国经济增长是固体废弃物增长的推因,但是固废增率明显低于经济增长率。最后对实证研究结果作出相关定性分析。

This paper select the time series of the total quantity of solid waste and the economy in China from 1990 to 2004, starting from its＇relations, and focusing on its＇econometric characters, we study on the quantity relations between the growth of solid waste and the economy of China and we model it econometrically through correlation analysis, regression analysis and its diagnosis and causality research. We reach a conclusion that the growth of economy cause the growth of solid waste, but the ratio of the latter is much lower its former. At last we analyze the conclusion.