现代物流与经济增长的VAR模型分析

An Analysis of VAR Model between Modern Logistics and Development of Economic in China

本文在建立VAR模型的基础上,运用脉冲响应函数和预测方差分解来刻画现代物流发展与经济增长关系的相关性。研究结果表明,我国的现代物流发展与经济增长之间存在着较强的正向相关性。因此,在当前条件下,加速推进现代物流发展是持续促进经济增长的重要路径选择。

Based on the foundation of VAR model, This paper applies impulse response function and variance decomposition to portray the correlations between Development of Economic and Modem logistics .The result shows that there exists a strong positive response between them .there for, in current conditions ,accelerating pace of Modem logistics is the fundamental approach choice to Promote the Development of Economic.