摘要
文章从影响人口迁移的动力要素和迁移方式入手,从战略上把握我国不同地区未来人口迁移及空间格局的基本趋势,探索促进人口有序流动的各项政策。研究表明,2000～2020年我国每年从乡村迁入到城市的净常住人口数量将大体保持在1500万左右,并在链式迁移方式主导下,人口迁移的空间格局不会有太大的改变,仅出现一些微调,未来迁移人口还将主要集中在大都市区范围内。
This paper discusses driving forces and types of migration in China, and forecasts migration trends and changes in spatial patterns of migration in the next 20 years. Finally the paper explores policy options that stimulate migration to occur orderly. Estimate of annual rural-urban migration during 2000-2020 is about 15 millions, and spatial patterns of future migration remain stable and changes will be small. The metropolitan areas will continue to be the major migration destinations.
出处
《人口研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2007年第5期9-19,共11页
Population Research
关键词
人口迁移
迁移趋势
空间格局
演变
Migration
Floating population
Spatial pattern of migration
