有序人口流动模型及其实证分析

Orderly Population Flow Model and its Demonstration Analysis

结合我国具体国情,对托达罗(M.P.Todaro)的经典人口流动理论加以修正,并提出有序人口流动模式,进而构建有序人口流动模型,借以描述人口流动数量的变化规模及劳动力迁移决策行为,讨论流入劳动力数量趋于稳定的条件,并给出相应的实证分析。

The classical population flow theory （M.P.Todaro） was modified according to the concrete situation of China. Orderly population flow pattern was put forward and its model was constructed, which described the movement scale of population flow amount and the decision -making action of work force. Conditions for the amount of the work force going to stabilization were discussed and corresponding demonstration analysis was presented.