非线性动态系统预报的一种方法初探

The Primary Study on a Method of Nonlinear Dynamic System Prediction

本文提出一种非线性动态系统预报方法，其特点是初步考虑了预报因子的突变性和时变参数的非平稳性。

In this paper, a method of nonlinear dynamic system prediction is given. The catastrophe of predictor and the unbalance of time dependent parameters are considered in thes method. The results of the numerical experiments have shown that the prediction accuracy of using this nonlinear dynamic prediction system is more effective them that of using the gereral recursive estimating method.