外国直接投资对我国进出口影响的区域差异分析

Regional Difference Analysis on the Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on the Import-export Trade

将全国各省(区、市)根据区域进行划分,组成全国、东部、中部和西部四个横截面,利用1992-2004年的相关数据,建立动态面板数据模型,运用GMM估计方法,对外国直接投资(FDI)对我国进出口贸易的影响进行分析。结果表明,外国直接投资对出口贸易具有创造效应,对进口贸易主要体现为替代效应,进一步比较各区域,发现东部地区的创造效应和替代效应最为显著,中部地区次之,西部地区最弱。

Divided province （autonomous region and municipality） in China by different regions, this paper gets four cross sections included the country, the East, the Midland and the West. According to the related data from 1992 to 2004, building dynamic panel data model and using GMM method to estimate coefficients, the paper analyzes the effect of foreign direct investment on China＇s import-export trade. The results show that FDI has creation effect on export trade in China, and it has substitution effect on import trade. After the further comparison on the creation effect and substitution effect of different regions, the paper finds that the creation and substitution effect of the East is most significant, the effect of the Midland relatively small, and the effect of the West is most indistinctive.