摘要
运用人口发展模型,利用统计数据,拟合模型中相关函数对城市人口按年龄结构进行预测,通过对预测结果的分析,了解城市人口年龄结构变化趋势,以及人口老龄化对产业经济带来的重大影响。文章对老龄化现象进行了预测,对于我国今后步入老龄化社会后可能出现的社会问题进行研究,为管理者制定相关的人口政策提供了数据支持。
This paper quoted the population development model with use of statistical data and fitting model function. By using this model for the urban population age structure prediction, predicting of the results ofthe analysis, understanding the changes in the impact on industries of the major economic for ing for the future into our aging society may be policy according to the predicting data. age structure of the urban population trends have a significant the aging of the population. In this paper, the phenomenon of agemerging social issues;managers need to formulate a population
出处
《荆门职业技术学院学报》
2007年第9期87-92,共6页
Journal of Jingmen Technical College
关键词
人口发展模型
死亡率函数
生育率函数
迁移率函数
population development model
death rate function
birth rate function
migration rate function