CDM项目的经济性分析——太阳能发电在中国商业楼宇中的导入(英文)

Economic Analysis of a Clean Development Mechanism Project:a Case Introducing Photovoltaic System in a Commercial Building in China

运用数学模型,对在中国的商业楼宇中以清洁发展机制(CDM)的方式导入太阳能发电进行了分析.该模型可以在满足电力供求平衡的前提下确定最佳的导入容量.运用该模型对投资费用和电价进行了参数分析.分析结果表明,在一定的条件下,即使没有CDM的参与,在中国的商业楼宇中导入太阳能发电也是可行的.但是,通过CDM项目,可以极大地减小太阳能发电的导入壁垒,CO2的减排收益也可弥补太阳能发电的投资费用,使项目双方都获得相应的利益.

In this study, a case study of the installation of a photovoltaic （PV） system as a potential Clean Development Mechanism （CDM） project for a commercial building in China was performed by using a newly developed mathematical programming model. The model, which was developed to optimize the installation capacity of the PV system subjected to the constraints on electricity supply and demand balances, was adopted to carry out parametric surveys of PV investment and electricity price. The resultant calculations reveal that, in some cases, the PV system will be voluntarily introduced in China, and that the PV system can be certified as a CDM project with financial support by the investor country. In some combination of parameters, the value of CO2 emission reduction credit offsets the PV capital cost, although the shared allocation of economic profits yielded by the CDM project between the two countries greatly mitigates the restraints on the project, while at the same time qualifying it for the CDM.