Numerical Weather Prediction in China in the New Century——Progress,Problems and Prospects

这篇论文总结数字天气的最近的进步预言(NWP ) 研究后来，最后评论被出版。新一代 NWP 系统说出葡萄(全球、地区性的吸收和预言系统)，它为全球或地区性的域与配置的选择由变化或顺序的数据吸收和非静水力学的预言模型组成，简短被介绍，与他们的科学设计和初步的结果上的应力在pre运作的实现期间。除了葡萄，在数据吸收的新方法论的成就，象云和行星的边界层的 parameterization 那样的模型物理的新改进，中央规模整体预言系统和空气的数字预言的发展，质量被介绍。应该为未来被强调的科学问题最后被讨论。

This paper summarizes the recent progress of numerical weather prediction （NWP） research since the last review was published. The new generation NWP system named GRAPES （the Global and Regional Assimilation and Prediction System）, which consists of variational or sequential data assimilation and nonhydrostatic prediction model with options of configuration for either global or regional domains, is briefly introduced, with stress on their scientific design and preliminary results during pre-operational implementation. In addition to the development of GRAPES, the achievements in new methodologies of data assimilation, new improvements of model physics such as parameterization of clouds and planetary boundary layer, mesoscale ensemble prediction system and numerical prediction of air quality are presented. The scientific issues which should be emphasized for the future are discussed finally.