能源消费量影响因素的实证分析——以陕西省为例

An Demonstration Analysis of the Influencing Factors of Energy Consumption——Take Shannxi Province as an example

通过对陕西省的能源消费量及其影响因素进行协整分析并建立误差修正模型,得出能源消费量随着国内生产总值、第二产业占GDP的比重、能源生产总量和上一年能源消费量的增加而增加,随着能源转换效率的提高而减少的结论。在此基础上,得出了能源消费量的影响因素及影响大小,从而为优化能源消费、解决能源危机问题提出了提高能源转换效率,加强节能意识,优化产业机构和能源消费结构的对策。

Through an cointegration analysis of Shannxi Province ＇ s energy consumption and its influencing factors, this paper get a conclusion that the energy consumption increased with the increase of GDP, the industry ＇ s ratio of GDP, the output of energy, last year＇ s energy consumption and decreased with the improve of energy conversion efficiency. So this paper suggests that in order to optimize energy consumption and solve the energy crisis, we should improve energy conversion efficiency, try our best to save energy and optimize our industrial structure and energy consumption structure.