摘要
以装备型号研制过程中的某系统的方案选择为例,构建ANP模型,对如何应用ANP进行型号研制项目的风险评价及决策进行分析。步骤包括:根据决策方案与评价标准间的相互关系,建立风险评价的网络模型;以进度风险为例,对不同方案产生的进度风险构造比较矩阵;假设决策标准和决策方案的偏好权重均为最简单的情况,对超矩阵进行加权,得到加权超矩阵,对其进行计算,最后构造极限超矩阵。
Take the scheme selection of a system, which is during the equipment model development, as an example, construct the ANP model and make risk assessment and decision of the model development project. The process includes: establishing the ANP model based on the relation between decision scheme and evaluation criterion; constructing the comparative matrix of the progress risk of different scheme; supposing the partial weight of both decision-making standard and decision-making scheme are the simplest, weighting the super matrix to get the weighting super matrix, and at last building the limit super matrix through computation.
出处
《兵工自动化》
2007年第10期10-11,共2页
Ordnance Industry Automation
关键词
网络层次分析法
装备型号研制
风险评价
Analytic network process (ANP)
Equipment model development
Risk evaluation