自贡市1985～2005年原发性肝癌死亡时间趋势分析

TIME TREND ANALYSIS OF THE MORTALITY FOR PRIMARY HEPATIC CARCINOMA FROM 1985 TO 2005 IN ZIGONG

[目的]了解自贡市1985～2005年原发性肝癌死亡率的变化趋势。[方法]依据自贡市居民死亡资料和人口资料,用死亡率、年龄别死亡率、出生队列死亡率等指标对该地区21年的原发性肝癌死亡变化趋势进行分析。[结果]1985～2005年自贡市男性人口、女性人口的原发性肝癌死亡率都呈现上升趋势(P均小于0.001);男女肝癌死亡率分别为30.8∕10万和10.3∕10万,差异有统计学意义(χ2=3275.47,P﹤0.001);肝癌年龄别死亡专率随着年龄的增加而增加;9个出生队列分析发现,不同时期出生的人群组的肝癌死亡率均随年龄的增加而增加。[结论]本市还应采取一系列的综合干预措施去控制原发性肝癌的发生和发展。

To understand the tendency of the mortality for primary hepatic carcinoma（PHC）from 1985 to 2005 in Zigong,and to provide the scientific evidence for evaluating prevention and cure strategies.[Methods]The twenty-one-year death tendency of PHC was analyzed with mortality rate,age specific mortality rate,birth cohort mortality rate and so on,according to the death data and population data of Zigong.[Results]From 1985 to 2005,The male mortality of PHC in Zigong increased during the 21 years（P﹤0.001）,so did the female rate;the mortality rates of males and females were respectively 30.8/105 and 10.3/105（χ2=3275.47,P﹤0.001）;the age specific mortality rates went up with the increasing of the age;from the analysis of nine birth cohorts,it was showed that mortalities of PHC increased with age.[Conclusion]A series of synthesized intervention study for liver cancer must be strengthened in Zigong to control its occurrence and development.