中国服务业发展影响因素的实证分析

Empirical Analysis on Influential Factors of China's Service Industry Development

改革开放以来,中国服务业虽获得了较快发展,但其发展速度目前呈现出迟滞的态势。影响中国服务业发展的因素是多方面的,主要有生产性服务业和消费型服务业发展缓慢,工业化水平、人均收入、城市化程度等都比较低,等等。其中,制约服务业发展的主要因素是服务业内部行业的发展;服务业发展的不平稳主要受各因素不平稳发展的影响,从长期来看,各因素发展制约的突破会促使服务业回到稳定发展的趋势。促进服务业发展,改变其发展迟滞的现状需要从多方面努力,关键是突破服务业内部行业结构不合理的制约,同时在工业化及城市化进程中,注意发展现代服务业,以工业化、城市化带动服务业现代化,以现代化服务业来促进工业化和城市化。

China＇s service industry has gained rapid development since the reform and opening to the outside world, but its growth rate shows a slowing trend. The main influential factors include the low level of production services and consumer-oriented services, industrialization, per capita income, urbanization and so on. The constraining factors are mainly within the service industry and their instable developments affect the instable development of the service industry. From a long-term perspective, the breakthrough of the constraining factors will lead the service industry back to the stable development. To promote the development of the service industry and change its low level status needs many efforts. The key effort is to breakthrough the unreasonable structure within the industry, pay attention to the development of the modern service industry, develop service modernization by industrialization and urbanization, and promote industrialization by modernizing services during the process of industrialization and urbanization.