基于空间Panel Data的中国区域人均GDP收敛分析被引量：10

Spatial Panel Data Analysis for China's Regional Per-capita GDP Convergence

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摘要本文应用空间Panel Data分析方法,对我国区域人均生产总值(GDP)的β收敛模型进行实证研究。研究结果表明我国区域经济增长在1996年至2005年期间存在扩散,1996年至2000年区域人均GDP为β收敛,2001年至2005年区间β扩散,β收敛理论实证研究受样本区间影响很大。在政策上提出国家对缩小国内区域经济增长差距的政策应根据国家长短期目标而调控。 This paper is concerned with an important aspect of regional income convergence, β-convergence, The authors make an empirical research to examine the β-convergence process for China＇s regional per-capita GDP using techniques of spatial error autocorrelation model. The evidence shows that there is divergence in China＇s regional per-capita GDP in the period from 1996 to 2005. Then we separate the whole period into two sub-periods： 1996-2000 and 2001-2005. The results suggest that there is β-convergence in the first period and the divergence in the second period when we use the same method to investigate it. β- ecause of the weak test power of spatial panel data model test and small sample, we use the bootstrap simulation method to test the results.

作者项云帆王少平

机构地区华中科技大学经济学院

出处《中国地质大学学报（社会科学版）》 2007年第5期77-82,共6页 Journal of China University of Geosciences(Social Sciences Edition)

基金国家自然科学基金资助项目(70571026)

关键词空间Panel DATA 空间误差自相关 Β收敛 Bootstrap仿真 Spatial Panel Data spatial error autocorrelation β-convergence Bootstrap

分类号 F124.7 [经济管理—世界经济]

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