摘要
自1996年以来,中国钢铁工业在世界舞台上扮演着日益重要的角色,受到各界人士的密切关注。因此,研究中国钢铁工业近些年的发展轨迹,探寻产业内部特征与经济外部环境对我国钢铁工业供给与需求的影响结构,对于我国乃至世界钢铁工业的发展前景均有着重要的参考价值。本文在总结分析相关研究文献的基础上,尝试运用适当的统计、计量经济方法与模型,对中国钢铁工业的供需机制展开定量研究,改进和弥补已有研究存在的不足与缺陷,得出了具有一定理论与实践价值的结论。
China' s iron and steel industry has played an important role in the international market since 1996, and its development has been focused by many people in different fields, so it is worthy to look into the development of China's iron and steel industry and investigate its supply and demand mechanism. Based on the literature review, this paper tries to make further research on the supply and demand mechanism of China' s iron and steel industry by using statistical and econometric methods.
出处
《统计研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2007年第11期29-33,共5页
Statistical Research
关键词
动态分析
协整检验
变参数模型
误差修正模型
Dynamic analysis
Cointegration test
Varying-parameter model
Error correction model