山东省出口贸易与能源消费关系的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis on the Relationship Between Export Trade of Shandong Province and Its Energy Consumption

通过对山东省能源消费与出口贸易关系进行协整与Granger因果关系检验,得到如下结论:山东省能源消费与出口贸易之间存在较强的正相关性;山东省出口贸易规模的发展既影响着能源的消费量,又受到能源消费量的制约。在当前能源供给压力趋紧的情况下,为保持山东出口贸易可持续发展,山东省需要采取积极措施,优化出口产品结构,降低高能耗产品出口比重,同时,还应促进出口生产企业进行技术改造,降低出口产品生产的能耗。

In this article, the relationship between the export trade of Shandong province and its energy consumption is analyzed by co- integration and Granger causality test, with the conclusions drawn as follows： 1 ） The positive relationship between the energy consumption and the export trade is significant; 2） The growth of the export both influences the energy consumption and is subject to it. With the current short supply of energy in Shandong province, this paper proposes that some countermeasures should be taken to keep the sustainable development of the province＇s export trade. On the one hand, the export product structure should be optimized and the export of the energy - intensive products should be decreased; On the other hand, the enterprises that produce exports should have their technological transformation in order to reduce the energy consumption of the exports.