基于反向物流的废旧电子产品系统动力学模型仿真与优控

The Experiment-Oriented Optimal-Control of SD Modeling for Waste and Outdated Electronic Products Based on Reverse Logistics

在明确一般废旧电子产品系统动力学(SD)建模方法基础上,以废旧电视机为例进行实证研究。基于部分统计数据为基础,建立SD模型并进行仿真,得出以发展经济为主要目标的发展型模式、以废电视机控制为重要目标的抑制型模式和以可持续发展为基本目标的协调型模式。经过比较认为,以可持续发展为基本目标的协调型模式是实现废旧电子产品控制和社会经济可持续发展的最佳模式。

The clarification of the system dynamic （SD） modeling for waste and outdated electronic products serves as a primary basis for the empirical research which waste and outdated TV sets are taken as an example. In this paper, the SD modeling was demonstrated and simulated in accordance with a part of data. From this simulation, three conclusions are drawn, namely, the development mode that priority should be given to economic development, the repression one that priority should be given to the control over waste TV sets, and the harmonious one that priority should be given to sustainable development. Compared with each other, the third is considered as the best one not merely for the control over waste TV sets but for the sustainable development of social economy as well.