Status of China's Refined Oil Products Consumption and Forecast on Demand During the“11th Five-Year Plan”Period

作者在这工业使用了二个普通方法，我。e。“消费系数方法”和“弹性系数趋势方法”，在 2010 预报精制的油产品需求。通过分析并且比较二预报结果，对在 2010 的完成的产品油的要求一年将在 220 ～ 240 百万吨的范围，这被投射。另外，从关于总数的担心给产品消费上油在 2020 超过 6 亿吨 / 年，作者提出针对油产品的保存和其他的燃料的申请的建议和措施。

The author used two common methods in this industry, i. e. the ＂Consumption Coefficient Method＂ and the ＂Elasticity Coefficient Trend Method＂, to forecast the refined oil product demand in 2010. Through analyzing and comparing the two forecast results, it is projected that the demand for finished product oils in 2010 will be in the range of 220 to 240 million tons a year. In addition, out of concern about the total oil products consumption to exceed 600 million tons/year in 2020, the author puts forward suggestions and measures aimed at conservation of oil products and application of alternative fuels.