诱致性农业技术创新模型及中国农业技术变革的实证研究

The Induced Agricultural Technological Innovation Model and an Empirical Study on Agricultural Technological Reform in China

历史上不同国家有多种农业增长路径。诱致性技术创新理论认为,那些劳动力丰富而土地资源贫乏的国家,应该走生物和化学技术进步的道路;那些劳动力稀缺而土地面积相对丰富的国家,应该走机械技术进步的道路。本文结合中国农业增长的实际数据对该理论作了一个实证检验,结合检验结果提出我国农业技术进步应该以生物和化学技术进步为侧重点,同时不能忽视机械技术进步。

Different countries had different agricultural growth paths in history. The induced agricultural technological innovation theory persists that countries with abundant labors but scarce land should chose the path of biological and chemical technology; that countries with scarce labors but abundant land should chose the path of mechanical technology. Based on the actual data of aip＇icultural growth in China, the paper made an empirical test. Accordin~ to the results, it is proposed that agricultural technology should focus on the biological and chemical technology in China. Meanwhile the mechanical technology should not he ignored.