摘要
对大连、深圳等7个沿海城市海洋观测站自1991～2002年的海温、气象要素数据进行统计分析,结合经验预报因子,针对各个预报站点建立了短期海温统计预报模式,并对该模式进行了后报试验,模式运行稳定后投入到海温预报业务化使用,实现了预报流程的自动化。
In this paper, the SST and meteorological element of seven Sea Stations from 1991 to 2002 are analyzed by statistical method. A statistical forecasting system of Single sea station＇s SST is found. The statistical forecasting system is tested and gave good results. The system will be operated in our forecasting work, and will realize the automation of Single Sea Station＇s SST Short Term Forecasting.
出处
《海洋预报》
2007年第4期33-41,共9页
Marine Forecasts
基金
国家海洋环境预报中心自主科研课题
关键词
海温统计预报
相关性分析
逐步回归
自动化
statistical forecasting
correlation analysis
stepwise regression
automation
