物流产业对广东经济增长贡献的计量分析

本文运用菲德两部类模型,以广东为实证探讨分析物流产业对经济增长的计量关系。结果表明:由于样本数据时间跨度较大、现代物流业发展起步晚,导致物流产业对广东经济增长的贡献并不明显,这说明广东目前处于传统物流向现代物流的转型阶段,现代物流对经济的促进与带动作用正在逐步发挥。因此,有必要进一步发挥现代物流的先导作用,促进国民经济持续稳定快速发展。

This paper uses Feeler - Model to quantitative analysis the relationship of logistics industry and economic growth. The results indicated that： the contribution of logistics industry to economic growth in Guangdong is not obvious, its because that sample data is many and modem logistics industry just start, it also province that Guangdong is placed in Traditional Logistics toward the transformation stages of Modern Logistics currently. Modern logistics to economy of promote and arouse a function just at gradually exertive. Therefore we have a necessity to develop modern logistics to lead a fimetion first further, promote the national economy keep on a stability to develop quiekly.