出口贸易对地区经济增长贡献的模型分析

Model Analysis on Exports Trade Contribution to Regional Economic Growth

衡量出口对地区经济增长贡献程度的一般方法由于很少考虑本地生产的产品出口和外地生产的产品出口在经济运行中的不同作用以及经济变量之间相互影响的关系,倾向于高估出口对地区经济增长的贡献作用。而通过建立投入产出模型,充分考虑不同地区生产的产品在本地区出口对本地区的经济增长起到的不同作用,从而能够比较客观地反映出口对地区经济增长的贡献程度。本研究以新疆地区的出口贸易为例,分析了各行业出口对新疆经济增长的影响并提出了相应的对策建议。

The general approaches to measure exports to regional economic growth tend to overestimate the contribution to regional economic growth because the different roles and relation between economic variables about local production exports and foreign production exports in the economic operation and the interaction usually are ignored. This text can objectively reflect the contribution of exports to regional economic growth levels by the creation of input-output mode and give some countermeasures.