摘要
黑龙江省是一个农业大省,农业经济对全省经济的发展起到至关重要的作用,而农业生产资料对农业经济的发展有着巨大的影响作用。应用灰色系统理论中关联分析方法和GM(1,1)预测模型,对黑龙江省农业总产值与农业生产资料之间的关系进行关联分析,在其发展趋势预测的基础上,对黑龙江省农业经济发展的趋势关联分析,进而提出黑龙江省实现农业经济持续发展、科学决策对策建议。
Heilongjiang is a big agricultural province. Agricultural play an important role on the development of the whole province economy. In this paper, used Correlation Analytic process and GM ( 1, 1) models of the Grey System theories into the system analysis and forecasting of the developing trend of Heilongjiang agricultural economy and the means of agricultural production. This results reflected dynamically the development trend of Heilongjiang agricultural economy and provided theoretic basis for the sustainable development of agricultural economy and scientific decision.
出处
《中国林业经济》
2007年第6期9-12,共4页
China Forestry Economics
基金
黑龙江省科技攻关计划项目(GB06D010-4)
关键词
黑龙江省
农业生产资料
农业经济发展
灰色关联分析
GM(1
1)模型
Heilongjiang province
means of agricultural production
agricultural economy
grey correlation analysis
GM ( 1, 1 ) model