摘要
以氢能为代表的可再生能源替代传统的化石能源等不可再生能源是能源发展的必然趋势,而氢能替代的商业化应用则是其中的关键环节。通过对替代过程的经济分析,氢能成本与石油能源的成本的相对关系是氢能源商业化应用的主要因素,因此,采用成本变化曲线将氢能商业化过程划分为三个阶段,并估算了各阶段的开始时间。然后,进一步通过分析各种典型制氢技术的技术进步对氢能市场化应用价格的影响,得出与石油生产成本相等时的氢能市场化应用市场价格,从而完成氢能在大规模商业应用中对化石能源的替代过程。
It is a necessary trend for the substitution of fossil fuels by renewable energy such as hydrogen, Commercial application of hydrogen is an important factor during this process, By economical analysis, it is found that the costs of hydrogen and oil decide the commercial application of hydrogen. The course of commercial application of hydrogen falls into three stages, The initial period of each stage is evaluated by analyzing the effect of technology progress to hydrogen cost. commercial application price of hydrogen.
出处
《商业研究》
北大核心
2007年第12期102-105,共4页
Commercial Research
关键词
氢能
化石能源
能源替代
能源成本
hydrogen
fossil fuels
energy replacement
energy costs
