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需求预测方法抑制牛鞭效应问题的研究

Research on restraining bullwhip effect based on demand forecast
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摘要 研究了供应链系统中的牛鞭效应问题,提出了基于指数平滑、移动平均和需求信号处理的需求预测方法抑制牛鞭效应的动态模型,分析了模型对牛鞭效应的减少作用。应用Bode图验证了三种预测方法对牛鞭效应抑制的效果。 Bullwhip effect in the supply chain was studied, and a dynamic model was presented based on exponential smoothing, moving average and demand signal processing. The dynamic model uses demand forecasting method to restrain the bullwhip effect. How the model reduced the bullwhip effect was analyzed. Effect of the three methods was verified by Bode diagram.
作者 李晔 尚晓玲 陈燕
机构地区 大连海事大学经济与管理学院 广东金融学院工商管理系
出处 《计算机应用》 CSCD 北大核心 2007年第12期3099-3101,3104,共4页 journal of Computer Applications
关键词 牛鞭效应 指数平滑 移动平均 需求信号处理 bullwhip effect exponential smoothing moving average demand signal processing
分类号 TP391.9 [自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]
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计算机应用
2007年 第12期

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