摘要
房地产业已成为我国重要的支柱产业，因此，建立房地产上市公司财务预警方法对政府、投资商、中介公司和广大消费者都具有重要意义。以主成分分析和逻辑回归分析为基础建立分析模型，并用该模型对2002～2005年沪、深两市45家房地产业上市公司进行实证分析，发现模型对房地产上市公司前两年和前四年的财务预警有较高的可信度。
Real estate industry is one of the pillar industries in China and thus the financial early-warning system is of great importance for the government, investors, intermediary services and consumers in general. An analysis regression analysis. An model is established empirical study was either Shanghai or Shenzhen Stock Exchange on the basis of principal components analysis and logistic conducted to analyze 45 real estate corporations listed in and the results confirm the effectiveness of the model.
出处
《西南交通大学学报（社会科学版）》
2007年第6期98-102,共5页
Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University(Social Sciences)
关键词
房地产公司
上市公司
财务危机
财务预警
主成分分析
逻辑回归分析
real estate corporation
listed corporation
financial crisis
financial early-warning
principal components analysis
logistic regression analysis
