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不确定性与货币政策渐进调整

The Uncertainties and Gradual Change of Monetary Policy
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摘要 使用一个简化的Svensson模型,从模型系统、参数估计、测量误差、附加冲击四个角度分析不确定性对货币政策调整的影响,认为模型系统、参数估计、测量误差的不确定性是货币政策渐进调整的根本原因,而附加冲击的不确定性不构成货币政策渐进调整的充分条件。 In this paper, we used a simplified SVENSSON model to analyze the effects of uncertainties on monetary policy from four aspects： model system, parameter estimate, measurement error, and additive impact. Our result showed that the uncertainty of additive impact was not a sufficient condition for gradual change of monetary policy, while the other three were the fundamental reasons.
作者 陈奉先
机构地区 北京师范大学珠海分校物流学院
出处 《广西财经学院学报》 2007年第6期56-59,共4页 Journal of Guangxi University of Finance and Economics
关键词 货币政策 渐进调整 测量误差 不确定性 monetary policy gradual change measurement error uncertainty
分类号 F821.0 [经济管理—财政学]
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参考文献11

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二级参考文献7

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共引文献2

广西财经学院学报
2007年 第6期

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