摘要
在分析湖北省洪涝灾害孕灾环境和致灾因子的基础上,利用民政部门整理的1951～2000年洪涝受灾面积资料,建立了基于长江中游流域逐月最高水位和湖北省5～10月降水总量的湖北省洪涝灾害受灾面积定性和定量评估模型,并给出了该模型2001～2006年的独立样本检验值,探讨了该模型在年度灾害趋势预估和灾后评估中的应用。
Qualitative assessment model and quantitative assessment model is built with making use up the data of areas suffered from flooding disaster from 1951 to 2000 from Ministry of Civil Affairs, water level of hydrological observing stations of the middle section of Yangtze River and precipitation from May to October in Hubei Province. Then the areas suffered from flooding from 2001 to 2006 were evaluated with quantitative assessment model. Finally, the possible application of this model in forecasting before flooding disaster and evaluation after flooding disaster is discussed.
出处
《暴雨灾害》
2007年第4期323-327,共5页
Torrential Rain and Disasters
基金
中国气象局新技术重点推广项目"长江中游气象水文预报与服务系统研究"(CMATG2006Z08)
中国气象局多轨道建设项目"长江中上游暴雨洪水定量预报和水循环影响评估系统"
湖北省气象局基金课题"湖北省干旱
暴雨气象灾害评估研究"(2004Z02)共同资助
关键词
洪涝灾害
灾害评估
致灾因子
受灾面积
评估模型
Flooding disaster
Disaster assessment
Disaster inducing factors
Areas suffered from flooding disaster
Assessment model
