摘要
本文提出了利用人工神经网络非线性时间序列预测方法,对人口按龄生育率问题进行建模和预测,其结果表明这种方法在预测精度和降低模型复杂性上优于传统方法。
This paper presents a method based on non-linear time series prediction by neural networks to make model and predict age-order-specific fertility rates. The results show that the method is better in prediction precision and complexity.
出处
《小型微型计算机系统》
CSCD
北大核心
1997年第8期66-69,共4页
Journal of Chinese Computer Systems
关键词
神经网络
BP算法
生育率
Neural network, Non-linear time series, BP algorithm, Fertility rates