产业发展的动力机制研究

Research on Power Mechanism of Industrial Development

从投入产出的视角分析了我国各个产业增长的动力及其对产业结构变化的影响,在Leontief投入产出分析及Chenery结构分解分析(SDA)的基础上建立数学模型,将产业增长及产业结构变化的动力分解为技术进步、最终需求变动以及二者的交叉影响。分析结果显示:最终需求对中国各个产业以及经济总体的增长起着支配性的主导作用;技术进步对各产业增长的贡献有正有负,对于经济总体增长的作用十分微弱。

This paper analyzes the impact of the power of Chinese industrial growth to the industrial structure change from the perspective of input- output. The author also makes an analysis on setting up a mathematic model based on Leontief input- output analysis and Chenery SDA, and classifies the industrial growth and the power of industrial structure change into different steps. The result shows that： the ultimate demand will play an essential role of Chinese industries and economy and technological innovation has an unstable impact on industrial growth and weak on economy.