我国金融发展与国际贸易的关系——基于1991-2005年数据的实证研究

Relationship between Financial Development and International Trade in China——Based on the Data of 1991-2005

随着经济一体化的发展,金融与国际贸易的融合及互动关系日益凸显,成为国际经济及区域经济发展中的重要现象。本文运用协整和格兰杰因果检验方法,研究了我国金融发展和国际贸易的关系,结论表明:二者存在长期稳定的均衡关系,金融发展对我国国际贸易的发展发挥了显著的促进作用,但国际贸易没有显著地促进金融发展。

With the development of economic integration, the syncretic and interactive relationship between finance and international trade is explicit, which becomes an important phenomenon in the field of international economy and regional economy. This article studies the relationship between financial development and international trade with the method of co-integration and Granger cause and effect test. The results show that financial development and international trade have a stable long-run equilibrium relationship. Financial development remarkably promotes the development of international trade, but international trade doesn＇t remarkably promote the development of finance.