人民币升值对降低我国贸易顺差的作用分析——基于不同贸易方式的分析

Analysis on the Effect of RMB Appreciation on Decreasing the Foreign Trade Surplus of China——An Analysis Based on Various Trade Modes

本币升值是削减我国贸易顺差的一项措施。但是,在一般贸易和加工贸易同时存在且加工贸易占比更大的情况下,本币升值对削减顺差的作用将大大被削弱。本文探讨了在多种贸易方式同时存在的情况下本币升值对进出口的影响机制,证明了本币升值对不同贸易方式的影响程度不同并指出要有效削减贸易顺差必须特别采取针对加工贸易的措施。

RMB Appreciation can decrease the foreign trade surplus of China. But, taking the various trade modes into account, especially the ratio of processed trade overwhelming that of the general trade, the effect of the appreciation of RMB will be greatly weakened. This paper discusses the mechanism how the appreciation of RMB influences the trade balance when there exist more than one kind of trade modes. It is proved that the appreciation of RMB has different degree of effect on different trade modes. Should the trade surplus be reduced effectively？ Measures aiming at processing trade must be taken.