农民增收与城镇化发展的动态计量分析

Analysis of VAR Model Between Development of Urbanization and Income Growth of Rural Residents in China

在建立VAR模型的基础上,运用脉冲响应函数和预测方差分解来刻画城镇化发展与农民收入增长关系的相关性。结果表明,我国城镇发展与农民收入增长呈较强的正相关。因此,在当前条件下,加速推进城镇化发展是持续增加农民收入的重要途径。

Based on the foundation of VAR model,in this paper with impulse response function and variance decomposition the correlations between development of urbanization and income growth of rural residents were described.The result showed that there existed a strong positive response between them.Thereforo,under the current condition,the accelerating pace of urbanization was the fundamental approach of peasants＇ income-increasing.